Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.050284 0.059103 0.068957 0.080779 0.094570 0.110144 0.129065
2025-07-27 0.036825 0.048300 0.062529 0.081442 0.105896 0.136426 0.177422
2025-08-03 0.029218 0.041719 0.058515 0.082671 0.116461 0.161992 0.227960
2025-08-10 0.024598 0.037672 0.056440 0.085236 0.128196 0.189797 0.284735
2025-08-17 0.019878 0.032378 0.051392 0.082266 0.130985 0.204726 0.324627
2025-08-24 0.016907 0.029095 0.048617 0.081952 0.137238 0.225011 0.374631
2025-08-31 0.014420 0.026101 0.045718 0.080794 0.141671 0.242618 0.422243
2025-09-07 0.012895 0.024449 0.044713 0.082505 0.150873 0.268821 0.487055
2025-09-14 0.011253 0.022295 0.042474 0.081641 0.155321 0.287268 0.540535
2025-09-21 0.009726 0.020095 0.039803 0.079531 0.157095 0.300993 0.586955
2025-09-28 0.008403 0.018074 0.037153 0.077032 0.157690 0.312437 0.630262
2025-10-05 0.007718 0.017235 0.036676 0.078698 0.166525 0.340343 0.708382
2025-10-12 0.006980 0.016187 0.035666 0.079219 0.173294 0.365373 0.784681
2025-10-19 0.006336 0.015246 0.034749 0.079817 0.180327 0.391838 0.867410
2025-10-26 0.005818 0.014503 0.034151 0.081011 0.188769 0.422186 0.962046
2025-11-02 0.005450 0.014057 0.034146 0.083524 0.200436 0.460744 1.079170
2025-11-09 0.004773 0.012741 0.031945 0.080611 0.199299 0.471012 1.134279
2025-11-16 0.004335 0.011959 0.030897 0.080304 0.204218 0.495454 1.224813
2025-11-23 0.003904 0.011122 0.029593 0.079169 0.206963 0.515135 1.306442
2025-11-30 0.003660 0.010751 0.029408 0.080846 0.216903 0.553014 1.436548
2025-12-07 0.003324 0.010067 0.028317 0.079998 0.220275 0.575281 1.530612
2025-12-14 0.002974 0.009285 0.026848 0.077930 0.220171 0.588845 1.604208
2025-12-21 0.002649 0.008521 0.025321 0.075480 0.218708 0.598750 1.669486